It ’ s all about speed and costs : The impact of digital technology on the insurance market structure

نویسندگان

  • Martin Eling
  • Ruo Jia
  • Casey Rothschild
چکیده

Digital technology is costly, but it allows insurers to more quickly learn about the risk type of their policyholders. We study the implications of this speed-versus-cost tradeoff for equilibrium pricing and coverage decisions in an insurance market featuring adverse selection. In particular, we develop a theoretical model of dynamic competitive equilibrium featuring individuals who differ in their privately known risk types, and a large number of two types of insurers: conventional insurers and “tech” insurers who employ digital technologies. We consider three distinct dynamic equilibrium concepts: a finite horizon structure with foresight, an infinite horizon “overlapping generations” structure, and an infinite horizon myopic structure. Equilibrium in each setting features a sorting of low-risk types into tech firms and high-risk types into conventional firms. Depending on the setting, however, the equilibrium tech-firm market share may negatively, positively, or mixed correlate with the learning speed of conventional insurers.

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تاریخ انتشار 2018